5 Comments
User's avatar
Blowtorch's avatar

What a great idea for a model. You could apply this to other aspects of the battlefield as well, definitely learned something from this.

Building Our Future's avatar

Great work, Sean, to quantize warfare and the role/risk associated with sUAS in warfare. It will be interesting to see how these numbers shift as we grow more intricate kill webs with multiple agents / sensors. Keep writing!

Sean Harper's avatar

Articles on deck examining those exact questions. Looking forward to your feedback and thanks for sharing!

Ian Robinson's avatar

That's a great analysis and seeing all the outcomes plotted as distributions shows the dilemmas well. I sense the binomial distribution is in there.

Jason Eckberg's avatar

Any good quantitative analysis starts with a model. Simple, yet descriptive. The challenge really does come in the form and character of the countermeasures. As noted in the comment above anti-fragility measurement in complex systems will be an exciting field of research.